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Research

The CPA is Washington’s leading organization fighting for a new trade policy to deliver balanced trade, restored health for American industries, broadly-shared economic growth, and more jobs for American workers.  Learn about the key trade issues impacting the US economy that must be solved. Research by CPA staff takes a deeper look at these issues and which policy changes can lead to dramatic improvement.

CPA Research

GM Cutbacks Due to Offshoring, Not Tariffs

December 20, 2018
By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director General Motors is having a very good year in 2018. That’s right. You read that right, a good year. Maybe even an excellent year.

Top Five Cases of Huawei IP Theft and Patent Infringement

December 13, 2018
By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director Last week, Canadian authorities arrested the Chief Financial Officer of Huawei, Sabrina Meng Wanzhou. The US government alleges that she was involved in a plot to circumvent US sanctions on Iran by using a dummy company, secretly owned by Huawei, to sell networking equipment...

CPA Response to Tax Foundation Claims on Effects of Tariff Actions

December 11, 2018
By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director On Dec. 6th, the Tax Foundation published a brief document claiming that the tariffs implemented by the Trump administration earlier this year impose a $42 billion cost on Americans. The claim is wrong and based on misleading analysis, as a quick look at the...

Monthly US Trade Deficit Rises $0.9B to $55.5B, Advanced Technology Deficit Surges 14% in October

December 06, 2018
Non-competitive Dollar, Front-Running of Tariffs Drive Up October Deficit, Imports By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research DirectorThe monthly US trade deficit rose by $0.9 billion in October, reaching $55.5 billion, as exports fell slightly while imports rose by $600 million. The monthly data suggests that tariffs have yet to impact the...

The Tariffs Are Working

December 04, 2018
By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director Since January, the Trump administration has implemented five major tariff policies, on the solar panel, washing machine, steel, and aluminum industries, as well as the so-called Section 301 tariffs affecting $250 billion worth of Chinese imports, chiefly in intermediate manufactured goods.

Why Tariffs Are Not Raising Prices

December 04, 2018
By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director It’s now eight months after the first set of Trump administration tariffs went into effect, and so far the much-feared economic costs of tariffs have yet to appear.

White Paper: Measuring the Impact of the Steel Tariffs on the US Economy

November 27, 2018
By Jeff Ferry and Steven L. Byers

CPA Economic Model Shows Steel Tariffs Have Created Jobs

November 27, 2018
By Jeff Ferry and Steven L Byers When the Trump administration implemented tariffs on steel and aluminum in March 2018, many economists predicted job losses and consumer price hikes.

Experts Say China Telecom Diverted US Internet Traffic Through China

November 08, 2018
By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director Three Internet security experts have accused state-owned telecom giant China Telecom of diverting internal US Internet traffic through China.

Memo: USMCA Rules of Origin, Further Details

November 06, 2018
By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director The USMCA Agreement contains rules of origin for the automotive industry that will have a wide-ranging effect on the auto industry.

US Manufacturing Resurgence is Broad-Based

November 02, 2018
By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director Manufacturing employment in the US has now shown year-on-year growth of more than 250,000 employees for six consecutive months, the largest and most sustained manufacturing job growth we’ve seen since 1998.

US Trade Deficit Hits $54 Billion in September

November 02, 2018
Widening Trade Deficit Contrasts with Strong Jobs Picture, as China Trade Deficit Sets Another Record   The federal government’s employment report for October showed the US economy continues to perform strongly, with job growth of 250,000 in the month, including 32,000 added manufacturing jobs. Unemployment continues to be low and...

August Trade Deficit Hits $53.2 billion; China Trade Deficit Sets Another Monthly Record

October 05, 2018
New trade data from the Department of Commerce shows that America’s trade deficit continues to rise, with the August seasonally-adjusted deficit of $53.2 billion rising 6 percent above the July figure and a staggering 20 percent worse than the August 2017 figure of $44.2 billion. On a year-to-date basis, the trade deficit...

What Trade War? CPA Members See Business Gains in Recent Months

October 03, 2018
Free traders predicted economic armageddon from new tariffs on steel, aluminum and Chinese products. But, with the significant exception of agriculture, CPA members’ businesses are booming. They are raising wages, investing in new equipment, reopening production lines and seeing production move back from China.

US-Mexico-Canada Deal is a Conceptual Breakthrough But Details Will Be Critical

October 03, 2018
By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director The three magic numbers for understanding the new US-Mexico-Canada trade agreement (USMCA) negotiated by the Trump administration are 16, 16, and 6.

China Tries To Whitewash Aggressive Trade Practices

October 02, 2018
“White Paper” Offers Cliches and Feelgood Rhetoric, Not Substance By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director Last week, China’s State Council, effectively the Cabinet of the Chinese government, issued a “White Paper” on trade, to argue its case in front of the world that China is playing by the rules of...
Currency Misalignment

Up To $100 Billion Annual Revenue Potential From the MAC

September 19, 2018
CDJPA Research Note #4 By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director CPA advocates the Market Access Charge (MAC) as an innovative tool to address systemic dollar overvaluation due to excessive demand from the international capital markets for dollar-denominated assets.

US Bilateral Deficit with China Hits All-Time High of $36.8B

September 07, 2018
July Trade Deficit Up 9.5% to $50.1B  By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director Wednesday’s trade report from the US Commerce Department for July reported that the US bilateral deficit with China hit a new all-time high of $36.8 billion in July, 9.5% worse than the July 2017 figure. For the...

CPA Says John Oliver is Wrong On Trade: A New Light on Trade

September 06, 2018
Did you happen to catch John Oliver's trade piece on Last Week Tonight? It was funny but outrageously wrong in every single aspect. What's worse is that his video has over 4.4 million views in which he is spreading his trade lies. CPA put a rebuttal video together with the truth on trade.

Turkey’s Problems Not Due to Trump’s Trade Policies

August 20, 2018
By Jeff Ferry, CPA Research Director Turkey’s currency crisis is threatening the Turkish economy and there is a genuine risk that this could spill over into other emerging market economies with excessive foreign indebtedness.